Roughly 23 million more people would be uninsured over a decade if the House-passed Republican Obamacare repeal bill becomes law, according to a long-awaited CBO analysis that could complicate GOP hopes of getting a companion measure through the Senate.
That’s nearly identical to the coverage losses that CBO forecast for an earlier version of the bill — despite the addition of new provisions and billions in funding aimed at keeping more people insured.
The nonpartisan scorekeeping office also forecasts the GOP plan would cut the deficit by $119 billion over a decade, primarily because of its cuts to Medicaid and private insurance subsidies. That easily clears the $2 billion of minimum projected savings the bill needed to be taken up by the Senate.
But the prediction of coverage losses is expected to add more fuel to Democratic arguments that the people who signed up for coverage under Obamacare would be much worse off under the GOP bill. The CBO in March projected that an earlier version of the legislation would leave roughly 24 million more people uninsured over a decade, prompting a backlash that forced GOP leaders to abandon a planned vote. That plan was projected to cut the deficit by $150 billion over a decade.
Six weeks later, House Republicans narrowly advanced a revised version of their American Health Care Act without waiting for a new CBO score.